Print Email Facebook Twitter The effect of group decisions in heat transitions Title The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach Author Luteijn-Nava Guerrero, G.D.C. (TU Delft Energie and Industrie) Hansen, Helle Hvid (University Medical Center Groningen) Korevaar, G. (TU Delft Energie and Industrie) Lukszo, Z. (TU Delft Energie and Industrie) Date 2021-09 Abstract The Netherlands aims at reducing natural gas consumption for heating in the housing sector. Although homeowners are responsible for replacing their heating systems and improving dwelling insulation, they are not always able to make individual decisions. Some projects require group decisions within and between buildings. We use an agent-based modelling and simulation approach to explore how these individual and group decisions would influence natural gas consumption and heating costs in an illustrative neighbourhood, under a set of assumptions. We model individual household preferences over combinations of insulation and heating systems as a lifetime cost calculation with implicit discount rates, and we use quorum constraints to represent group decisions. We model three fiscal policies and a policy to disconnect all dwellings from the natural gas network. Results show that the disconnection policy was the only necessary and sufficient condition to incentivize households to replace their heating systems and that group decisions influenced the alternatives that were chosen. Since results were influenced by group decisions within buildings and by the market discount rate, we recommend further research regarding policies around these topics. Future work can apply our approach to case studies, incorporate new empirical knowledge, and explore group decisions in other contexts. Subject Group decision-makingHomeowner associations (HOA)Implicit discount rate (IDR)Quorum constraintsStrata buildingsTechnology adoption To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:0b08519a-2db7-423e-a771-20248972ef05 DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112306 ISSN 0301-4215 Source Energy Policy, 156 Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2021 G.D.C. Luteijn-Nava Guerrero, Helle Hvid Hansen, G. Korevaar, Z. Lukszo Files PDF 1_s2.0_S0301421521001750_main.pdf 5.43 MB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:0b08519a-2db7-423e-a771-20248972ef05/datastream/OBJ/view