Print Email Facebook Twitter A general activity-based methodology for simulating multimodal transportation networks during emergencies Title A general activity-based methodology for simulating multimodal transportation networks during emergencies Author van der Gun, J.P.T. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) Pel, A.J. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) van Arem, B. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) Department Transport and Planning Date 2015-07-30 Abstract Many possible emergency conditions, including evacuations, negatively affect the urban transportation system by substantially increasing the travel demand and/or reducing the supplied capacity. A transportation model can be used to quantify and understand the impact of the underlying disasters and corresponding management strategies. To this end, we develop an efficient methodology suitable for simulating multimodal transportation systems affected by emergencies, based on the novel integration of an activity-based choice model with both pre-trip and en-route choices, and a macroscopic or mesoscopic dynamic network loading model. The model structure first estimates the daily equilibrium and then uses that result as a starting point to simulate the emergency situation without further iterations. Unlike previous efforts, our methodology satisfies all requirements identified from literature regarding transportation modeling for emergencies, and is sufficiently general to investigate a wide range of emergency situations and management strategies. An evacuation case study for Delft shows the feasibility of applying the methodology. Furthermore, it yields practical insights for urban evacuation planning that stem from complex system dynamics, such as important interactions among travel directions and among modes. This supports the need for a comprehensive modeling methodology such as the one we present in this paper. Subject urban emergenciesevacuation modelingchoice modelingactivity-based modelingdynamic network loadingmultimodal networks To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:4f3dd953-4393-442c-ba5e-476af122d780 ISSN 1567-7141 Source European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, 16 (3), 490-511 Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2015 J.P.T. van der Gun, A.J. Pel, B. van Arem Files PDF 2016_03_03.pdf 860.24 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:4f3dd953-4393-442c-ba5e-476af122d780/datastream/OBJ/view