Print Email Facebook Twitter Discovering the effect of hero choice on the outcome of a Dota 2 game Title Discovering the effect of hero choice on the outcome of a Dota 2 game Author Toksoy, Noyan (TU Delft Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science) Contributor Krijthe, J.H. (mentor) Karlsson, R.K.A. (mentor) Hildebrandt, K.A. (graduation committee) Degree granting institution Delft University of Technology Programme Computer Science and Engineering Project CSE3000 Research Project Date 2022-06-24 Abstract Dota 2 is one of the most popular MOBA (Multiplayer Online Battle Arena) games being played today. A Dota 2 match is played by two teams of 5 players. The main goal of the game is to destroy the opposing team’s Ancient tower, the team that manages to do so, wins the game. An essential part of a match is the hero selection phase before it starts. There are different ways to select heroes in different game modes, but the game mode that is used for this research is the Captain’s mode where each team is assigned a captain and the captains take turns picking and banning heroes. The main question that this research aims to answer is: “What is the effect of the Pudge hero being picked in a team on the outcome of a Dota 2 game?” Causal inference, a discipline that is concerned with discovering causal relationships using data analysis under certain assumptions about the data is used in this research to measure this effect. More specifically, the g-formula is the causal inference method of choice for this research. The data that is used for this research is gathered through the OpenDota API. After running the correctly formatted data through the g-formula implementation, the effect of the Pudge hero being picked in a team on the game outcome was estimated as -0.2848%. Meaning that, on average, there is a 0.2848% less chance of a team winning the game, if the Pudge hero is in that team. Subject Causal InferenceDotA 2g-formulacausal analysisData Analysis To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:8d9b3322-dbcd-45af-996a-33b14fcf7237 Bibliographical note https://github.com/noyant/research-project-dota2 This is the link to the GitHub repository used for the project. https://figshare.com/s/d0d019862fbe2bc5fbc6 This is the dataset used as part of the project. This file was not added to the repository due to its size. More information on how to use it can be found in the README file of the repository. This dataset was uploaded to "4TU.ResearchData". Part of collection Student theses Document type bachelor thesis Rights © 2022 Noyan Toksoy Files PDF Research_Paper_final_version.pdf 912.98 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:8d9b3322-dbcd-45af-996a-33b14fcf7237/datastream/OBJ/view