What is the market potential for on-demand services as a train station access mode?

What is the market potential for on-demand services as a train station access mode?

Geržinič, N. (TU Delft Transport and Planning)
Cats, O. (TU Delft Transport and Planning)
van Oort, N. (TU Delft Transport and Planning)
Hoogendoorn-Lanser, S. (TU Delft Corporate Innovations)
Hoogendoorn, S.P. (TU Delft Transport and Planning)

Transport and Planning

2023

On-demand mobility services (FLEX) are often proposed as a solution for the first/last mile problem. We study the potential of using FLEX to improve train station access by means of a three-step sequential stated preference survey. We compare FLEX with the bicycle, car and public transport for accessing two alternative train stations. We estimate a joint access mode and train station choice model. Estimating a latent class choice model with different nesting structures, we uncover four distinct segments in the population. Two segments (∼50%) with a lower Willingness-to-Pay seem to be more likely to take-up FLEX. Ex-urban car drivers seem to be the most likely segment to adopt FLEX, showing great, since members of this segment are currently frequent users of the private car. Our case study also shows that while FLEX competes primarily with public transport when accessing local stations, it competes primarily with car for reaching distant stations.

Access modes
latent class
on-demand mobility
stated choice
train station choice

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:9c7b359d-e80d-4892-a159-e4aed115726e

https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2023.2179345

2324-9935

Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 20 (3)

Institutional Repository

journal article

© 2023 N. Geržinič, O. Cats, N. van Oort, S. Hoogendoorn-Lanser, S.P. Hoogendoorn