Print Email Facebook Twitter A pragmatic, performance-based approach to levee safety assessments Title A pragmatic, performance-based approach to levee safety assessments Author Rikkert, S.J.H. (TU Delft Coastal Engineering) Kok, M. (TU Delft Hydraulic Structures and Flood Risk) Lendering, K.T. (AWA Consult) Jongejan, R.B. (Jongejan Risk Management Consulting) Date 2022 Abstract Flood prone areas are often protected against flooding by an extensive network of flood defenses. To ensure their structural integrity, these flood defenses are periodically assessed. Many levees have been functioning well for decades, and have survived several relatively high hydraulic loads within their lifetime. However, information on survived load conditions is seldom included in levee safety assessments. Observed degradation from levee inspections is also not taken into account. That way, information that is useful to improve the accuracy of estimations of the actual strength of the levee remains unexploited. This study proposes a pragmatic approach to include observations of survived loads and levee degradation in the levee safety assessment. This approach consists of three steps: (1) a prior estimation of the failure probability, based on levee characteristics, (2) a posterior estimation of the failure probability, based on observed hydraulic loads, and (3) correction of the posterior failure probability estimation, based on levee inspections. In a case study, the estimated failure probabilities using this approach were much lower than when information on levee performance was not included. This study demonstrates the value of levee performance observations and how they could be included to improve levee safety assessments. Subject embankments and leveesrisk analysisrisk assessmentstatistical methods To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:f2875601-bbf2-4202-b9bd-2e00cb49f817 DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12836 ISSN 1753-318X Source Journal of Flood Risk Management, 15 (4) Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2022 S.J.H. Rikkert, M. Kok, K.T. Lendering, R.B. Jongejan Files PDF J_Flood_Risk_Management_2 ... sments.pdf 7.65 MB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:f2875601-bbf2-4202-b9bd-2e00cb49f817/datastream/OBJ/view