Print Email Facebook Twitter Simulation Model to Calculate Bird-Aircraft Collisions and Near Misses in the Airport Vicinity Title Simulation Model to Calculate Bird-Aircraft Collisions and Near Misses in the Airport Vicinity Author Metz, I.C. (TU Delft Control & Simulation; Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (DLR)) Muhlhausen, Thorsten (Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (DLR)) Ellerbroek, Joost (TU Delft Control & Simulation) Kügler, Dirk (Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (DLR)) van Gasteren, Hans (Royal Netherlands Air Force) Kraemer, Jan (Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (DLR)) Hoekstra, J.M. (TU Delft Control & Simulation) Date 2018 Abstract Annually, thousands of birds collide with aircraft. The impact usually has lethalconsequences for the bird, the involved aircraft can experience severe damage. The highest bird strike risk occurs at low altitudes. Therefore, aircraft within the airport area as well as the adjacent approach and departure corridors are especially vulnerable to collisions with birds. To analyse risk-reducing measures in these areas, a fast-time bird strike simulation environment was developed. An open-source Air Traffic Management simulator was enhanced with a model to represent bird movements and to recognize bird strikes. To confirm the reproducibility of the outcome, Monte Carlo simulations were performed. They included bird movement data from one year and air traffic flight plans for various air traffic volumes. The number of strikes and near misses showed an expected variance within the individual replications. The results indicate that the predictability of the number of strikes and near misses increases with rising number of birds, and rising air traffic intensity. Thus, by considering simulation scenarios including bird movement information from all seasons and a sufficient air traffic volume, the described set-up leads to stable results. Subject aviation safetybird movement modelbird strikefast-time simulationMonte Carlo simulationnear missrisk calculationrunway capacity To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:f829bb3a-e4ac-4cf6-acfb-181f9710de55 DOI https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace5040112 ISSN 2226-4310 Source Aerospace, 5 (4) Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2018 I.C. Metz, Thorsten Muhlhausen, Joost Ellerbroek, Dirk Kügler, Hans van Gasteren, Jan Kraemer, J.M. Hoekstra Files PDF Metz_2018_BirdStrikeSimul ... n_MDPI.pdf 930.02 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:f829bb3a-e4ac-4cf6-acfb-181f9710de55/datastream/OBJ/view