Pandemics and networks: The case of the Mexican flu

Title

Pandemics and networks: The case of the Mexican flu

 Author

Omic, J.
Van Mieghem, P.

Faculty

Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science

 Department

Network Architectures and Services (NAS)

 Date

2010-10-22

 Abstract

The recent widespread of the new Mexican flu and SARS show the high dependency on contemporary traveling patterns. The air transport network is recognized as an important channel of epidemic propagation for different diseases. In order to predict epidemic spreading and the influence of protection measures, a mathematical model of the Susceptible - Infected - Susceptible (SIS) type is used. We compare three different networks, namely the air transport network (in the USA and Europe), Erdos- Renyi (ER) graphs and complete bi-partite networks in the light of graph theoretical results based on the N-intertwined model. Using the spreading parameters of the Mexican flu estimated in Mexico City, we determine the necessary speed of countermeasures such that the epidemic is stopped. Restructuring of the air transport in the case of the USA transport network does not improve protection, while in the case of the European transport network the number of infected nodes is reduced for 10%.

 Subject

pandemics
networks
phase transition
Mexican flu

 To reference this document use:

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e88b5296-34e9-4711-b6de-2bc11e61e3f2

 Source

World Congres on Engineering & Computer Science (WCECS 10), 20-22 October 2010, San Francisco, USA.

 Part of collection

Institutional Repository

 Document type

conference paper

 Rights

(c) 2010 Omic, J.
Van Mieghem, P.
Files
PDF WCECS2010_MexicanFlu_Omic.pdf 97.74 KB
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